澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网

Why The Fed Is Mostly Powerless To Lower Housing Inflation

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing titled "The Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress," in Hart building on Tuesday, February 11, 2025.

Tom Williams / CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images

  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Tuesday acknowledged the Fed has limited ability to influence housing costs, despite the central bank's mandate to control inflation.
  • The Fed's main tool for controlling inflation, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs for short-term loans but cannot directly move rates for long-term loans, like the 30-year mortgage.
  • A long-standing housing shortage may push up housing costs regardless of what the Fed does with interest rates.

The Federal Reserve's job is to control inflation, but has little ability to influence one of its biggest drivers, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged at a congressional hearing Tuesday. 

Housing is the biggest expense in most people's budgets, and it's also by far the largest component in the official cost-of-living measures that the Fed uses to gauge inflation. While the Fed can put its thumb on the scales of the economy to influence inflation broadly, there's little it can do to lower mortgage bills, Powell said Tuesday at a hearing of the Senate Finance Committee, delivering the Fed's twice-yearly report on monetary policy.

Home prices surged during the pandemic, helping drive the inflation rate to highs not seen in decades. And while inflation has cooled since then, closer to the Fed's target of a 2% annual rate, stubborn housing costs have kept high inflation from subsiding completely.

On top of that, average rates for 30-year mortgages have soared from record lows during the pandemic to near their highest in decades. The increase is partly a result of the Federal Reserve having raised its benchmark fed funds rate to slow down the economy and bring inflation un🍌der control.

Treasury Yields Play Important Role

Despite the Fed's role in driving up mortgage rates, the central bank is limited in its ability to bring them down. The fed funds rate dictates the rate at which banks can lend money to one another and heavily influences short-term rates for 🙈all kinds of🌱 loans, including credit cards and car loans.

The 30-year mortgage rate, on the other hand, is closely related to a different financial instrument: 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:yields on 10-year treasury. Those yields are influenced by the expectations of bond traders about what the fed funds rate will be in the future.

Treasury yields are higher than normal now 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:for many reasons, including investor expectations about inflation, whether or not there will be a recession, and other factors "not particularly closely related to Fed policy," Powell said.

The Fed cut interest rates at the end of last year, but the cuts did little to move mortgage rates. Currently. Powell and other Fed officials have indicated that the central bank has put further rate cuts on hold for the time being and may not reduce the Fed funds rate again anytime soon. In addition, a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:long-running housing shortage may put upward pressure on prices regardless of what the Fed does.

"Once we lower rates, and rates return to a lower level, mortgage rates will come down," Powell said at the hearing. "I don't know when that will happen, and even when it does happen, we're still going to have a housing shortage in many places."

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