Think there will—or won't—be a recession this year? Wanna bet? 

Economists and other forecasters have reworked their outlooks since President Donald Trump late Wednesday announced a fresh set of global tariffs that sent markets racing downward. Several have 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:scaled back their forecasts for U.S. gross domestic product, while lifting their predictions regarding the likelihood of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:a recession—technically defined as multiple quarters of declining 𓂃GDP gro🐷wth. 

Investors, naturally, have their own ideas. And so do bettors on 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:prediction markets, which have lately grown in popularity including, late last year, as a means of wagering on the outcome of the election Trump eventually won. (In addition to economic events, other playable markets you can find today include ones about the New York Democratic mayoral race, the Final Four, and Elon Musk.)

On Polymarket, the odds of a recession have risen from below 30% around the time of Trump's inauguration to 56% as of earlier today. That means that, if you bet $1 on "yes," and you’re right, you'd win $1.75, while if you bet $1 on "no," you'd win $2.27.

The odds are a bit different on Kalshi, another prediction market. Over there, the odds of a recession were recently at 60%—meaning a correct $1 bet on "yes" will get you $2, while one on "no" will get you $3.

As for other markets, you can read Investopedia's live coverage of today's 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:trading in 🍎stocks and ot꧃her assets here.