What Is Inter๊teꦺmporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)?
The Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) is a consumption-based capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) that assumes investors hedge risky positions. Nobel laureate 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Robert Merton introduced ICAPM in 1973 as an extension of the capital asset pricing ಌmodel (CAPM).
CAPM is a financial investing model that assists investors in calculating potential investment returns based on risk level. ICAPM extends this theory by allowing for more realistic investor behavior, particularly regarding the desire most investors have to protect their investments against market uncertainties and to construct dynamic portfolios that hedge against risk.
Key Takeaways
- Investors and analysts use financial models—which represent in numbers some aspect of a company or security—as decision-making tools when determining whether to make an investment.
- Nobel laureate Robert Merton created the intertemporal capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) to help investors address risks in the market by creating portfolios that hedge against risk.
- The word "intertemporal" in ICAPM acknowledges that investors typically participate in markets for multiple years and are thus interested in developing a strategy that shifts as market conditions and risks change over time.
Understanding Intertemporal Capital Asset💝🍒 Pricing Model (ICAPM)
The purpose of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:financial modeling is to represent in numbers some♋ aspect of a company or a given security. Investors and anaꦬlysts use financial models as decision-making tools when determining whether to make an investment.
CAPM, CCAPM, and ICAPM are all financial models that attempt to predict the expected return on a security. A common criticism of CAPM as a financial model is that it assumes investors are concerned about an investment's 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:volatility of returns to the exclusion of other factors.
ICAPM, however, offers further precision over other models by taking into account how investors participate in the market. The word "intertemporal" refers to investment opportunities over time. It takes into consideration that most investors participate in markets for multiple years. Over longer time periods, investment opportunities might shift as expectations of risk change, resulting in situations in which investors may wish to hedge.
Example of Int🧜ertemp🅠oral Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM)
There are many 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:microeconomic and macroeconomic events that investors may want to use their portfolios t🧸o hedge against. Examples of these uncertainties are numerous and could include such things as an unexpected downturn in a company or within a specific industry, high unemployment rates, or increased tensions between nations.
Some investments or asset classes may historically perform better in bear markets, and an investor may consider holding these assets if a downturn in the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:business cycle is expected. An investor who uses this strategy may hold a hedge portfolio of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:defensive stocks, those that tend to perform better than the broader market during economic dow🍒nturns.
An investment strategy based on ICAPM, therefore, accounts for one or more hedging portfolios that an investor may use to address these risks. ICAPM covers multiple time periods, so multiple 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:beta coefficients are used.
Special Considerations
While ICAPM acknowledges the importance of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:risk factors in investing, it does not fully define what those risk factors are and how they impact the calculation of asset prices. The model says these factors affect how much investors are willing to pay for assets, but does little to address all the risk factors involved or quantify to what extent they influen🌃ce prices. This ambiguity has led some analysts and academics to conduct research on historical pricing d🔜ata to correlate risk factors with price fluctuations.