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What Is an Inflationary Gap?

Inflationary Gap: The difference between the current real GDP and the GDP of an economy operating at full employment.

Investopedia / Michela Buttignol

Definition
An inflationary gap occurs when a country's current real GDP is greater than its potential GDP.

What Is an Inflationary Gap?

An inflationary gap measures the difference between the current level of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:real gross domestic product (GDP) and the GDP that would exist if an economy was operating at 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:full employment.

Key Takeaways

  • An inflationary gap measures the difference between the current real GDP and the GDP of an economy operating at full employment.
  • The current real GDP must be higher than the potential GDP for the gap to be considered inflationary.
  • Policies that reduce an inflationary gap include reductions in government spending, tax increases, bond and securities issues, interest rate increases, and transfer payment reductions.
  • A government may use fiscal policy to help reduce an inflationary gap by decreasing the number of funds circulating within the economy.
  • A tight monetary policy should lower the money available to most consumers, triggering less demand.

Understanding an Inflationary Gap

An inflationary gap exists when the demand for goods and services exceeds production due to higher levels of employment, increased trade activities, or elevated government expenditure. 澳🦄洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:The real GDP can exceed the potential GDP, resulting in an inflationary gap:

Inflationary Gap = Actual GDP Anticipated GDP \begin{aligned}&\text{Inflationary Gap} = \text{Actual GDP} - \text{Anticipated GDP} \\\end{aligned} Inflationary Gap=Actual GDPAnticipated GDP

The inflationary gap represents the point in the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:business cycle when the economy expands as consumers purchase more goods and services. As demand increases but production lags, prices rise to restore market 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:equilibrium.

The real GDP must be higher than the potential GDP for the gap to be considered inflationary. When the potential GDP is higher than the real GDP, the gap is instead referred to as a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:deflationary gap.

Calculating Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

GDP measures the monetary value of final goods and services produced in a given period and bought by the final user within an economy. GDP is composed of goods and services for sale in the market and includes some nonmarket output, such as defense or education services provided by the government. 

According to 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:macroeconomic theory, the goods market determines the real GDP, shown in the following relationship. To calculate real GDP, first compute the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:nominal GDP:

Y = C + I + G + NX where: Y = Nominal GDP C = Consumption expenditure I = Investment G = Government expenditure NX = Net exports \begin{aligned}&\text{Y} = \text{C} + \text{I} + \text{G} + \text{NX} \\&\textbf{where:} \\&\text{Y} = \text{Nominal GDP} \\&\text{C} = \text{Consumption expenditure} \\&\text{I} = \text{Investment} \\&\text{G} = \text{Government expenditure} \\&\text{NX} = \text{Net exports} \\\end{aligned} Y=C+I+G+NXwhere:Y=Nominal GDPC=Consumption expenditureI=InvestmentG=Government expenditureNX=Net exports

Then, the real GDP = Y/D, where D is the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:GDP deflator, which takes inflation into effect over time.

An increase in consumption expenditure, investments, government expenditure, or net exports causes real GDP to rise in the short run. Real GDP provides a measure of economic growth while compensating for the effects of 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:inflation or 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:deflation. This accounts for the difference between actual🔴 economic growth and a simple shift in the prices of goods ꦕor services within the economy.

Fiscal and Monetary Policy to🐎 Manage the Inflationary Gap

A government may use 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:fiscal policy to help reduce an inflationary gap by decreasing the number of funds circulating in the economy. This is accomplished through reductions in government spending, tax increases, bond an🎀d securities issues, and transfer pay♈ment reductions.

These adjustments to the fiscal conditions within the economy can restore 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:economic equilibrium. As the amount of money in circulation decreases,𒁃 the overall demand for goods and services declines, reducing inflatio🍸n.

Central banks also have tools at their disposal to combat inflationary activity. When the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Federal Reserve (Fed) raises 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:interest rates, borrowing funds is more expensive.

澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Tight monetary policy can lower the money available to most consumers, triggering less demand and inflation retreats. Once equilibrium is reached, the Fed or other 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:central bank can shift interest rates accordingly.

How Do You Identify an Inflationary Gap?

An inflationary gap is a difference between the full employment gross domestic product and the actual reported GDP number.  It represents the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:extra output as measured by GDP between what it would be under 🍌the natural rate of unemployment and the rep🍸orted GDP number.


What Is the Difference Between Inflationary and Deflationary?

Inflation occurs in a🌜n economy when prices of goods and services increase and the purchasing power of people decreases. In deflation, there is a downward movement of the general price level of goods 🅘and services.

What Causes an Inflationary Gap?

An inflationary gap, when the demand for goods and services exceeds production, can be caused by high levels of employment, increased trade activities, or gre♐ater government expenditure.

How Do You Calculate the Inflationary Gap?

The In꧑flationary Gap equals the real or actual GDP minus the anticipated GDP.

What Is a Recessionary Gap?

A 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:recessionary gap describes an economy operating below its full-employment equi🍃librium.

The Bottom Line

An inflationary gap measures the difference between the cur𝄹rent real GDP and the potential GDP where an economy operates at full employment. The current real GDP is higher than the potential GDP for the gap to be inflationary. Governments impose policies to reduce an inflationary gap, such as reductions in government spending and tax and interest rate increases.

Article Sources
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  1. International Monetary Fund. "."

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