Key Takeaways
- The Producer Price Index showed wholesale prices increased by 0.1% in July, less than analysts expected.
- A decline in certain index components pointed to a lower reading for the Personal Consumption Expenditure index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of consumer inflation.
- The surprising reading could give the Federal Reserve more confidence that inflation is moving toward its annual goal of 2%.
Prices for wholesalers rose less than expected in July, potentially giving the Federal R🧔eserve more confidence to cut interest r🍎ates.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed that price increases eased in July, a Bureau of Labor Statistics report said Tuesday. The index was up 2.2% over the year ending in July, while prices increased 0.1% over the month. Both readings were lower than analysts projected, and the surprise fortified confidence among꧂ economists that inflation was continuing its decline.
Slower price increases could set the Federal Reserve up for a highly 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:anticipated ൲interest rate cut in Sಌeptember.
“The runway is clear for the Fed to cut rates in September. If data like this persists, the Fed will have plenty of room to cut rates🌞 further this year,” ဣsaid Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Data Pointཧs to Decline in Fed’s Pre🌠ferred Inflation Measurement
Economists look at PPI as an indicator of future consumer inflation trends because price increases at the wholesale level are often passed on to shoppers. Elements of the PPI are also used to calculate the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Personal Consumption𝔉 Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s preferred mea🌃sure of inflation.
“Categories of the PPI that feed into the PCE have been cooling,” wrote KPMG Macroeconomist Meagan Martin-Schoenberger on X, pointing to improvements in costs for airfare, health insurance and auto insurance.
Because of that easing, economists said Tuesday's report likely bolsters Federal Reserve officials' confidence that inflation is moving toward its annual 2% goal.
"A softer-than-expected rise in producer prices adds to evidence of falling price pressures that will help tame PCE inflation in the back half of 2024,” wrote Nationwide Financial Markets Economist Oren Klachkin. "A better balance in the product and labor markets will temper inflation and set the Fed down the path of rate cuts, starting in September.”