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JPMorgan Analysts Say US Stocks Likely To Continue Outperforming Europe in 2025

People take pictures of large American flags hanging outside the New York Stock Exchange on July 4

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Key Takeaways

  • The overperformance of U.S. equities compared with their international peers is likely to continue into next year, JPMorgan analysts said Wednesday.
  • A number of factors like the transition to the Trump administration and its trade and economic policies will likely take time to sort out.
  • Separately, another note from JPMorgan analysts predicted that the S&P 500 will continue its rally and crack 6500 by the end of 2025.

Stocks in the U.S. market are likely to continue beating their European counterparts over the next year, analysts from JPMorgan (JPM) wrote Wednesday.

However, stocks across the board are likely to slow in the first half of next year as some uncertain political factors—such as the transition to the Trump administration and the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:trade effects of its economic policies—are realized, the analysts wrote.

The "current phase of polarized regional market performances is likely to extend" as the impacts of the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:tariffs Trump has said he 𝓰will implement and other new policies materialize, the analysts wrote. They also noted that the U.S. stock market has outperformed international competitorཧs by 22% so far this year.

Small Caps Likely To Benefit in 2025

Within the U.S., the analysts said they expect the business "uncertainty" experienced by smaller-澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:market capitalization stocks will ease over the next year. The analysts said they expect 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:small-cap stocks will benefit from Trump's expected deregulation and the increased 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:merger and acquisition (M&A) activiꦕty that could follow.

The possibility that international stocks outpace U.S. stocks is "clearly there" as U.S. markets are already trading at a high 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, but the analysts said "one first needs to get more clarity on trade and on 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:geopolitics fronts" before predicting that shift.

Separately, another group of JPMorgan analysts outlined in a different note on Wednesday a 2025 target of 6500 for the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:S&P 500, joining 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:similar recent projections from Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS). The JPMorgan analysts said the market could face more volatility with the policy changes coming next year, but said they believe "opportunities are likely to outweigh risks" as deregulation and more 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:artificial intelligence (AI)-related capital spending could boost the market.

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  1. JPMorgan. "Year Ahead 2025 - Europe and Cross-Regional Outlook."

  2. JPMorgan. "2025 Global Equity Outlook."

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