澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网

January Was Scorching Hot For Hiring And Raises—Maybe Too Hot For The Fed

Commuters arrive at Grand Central Madison during the morning rush hour as service begins from all train stations on February 27, 2023, in New York City.

Howard Schnapp / Newsday RM via Getty Images

Key Takeaways

  • U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, the highest in a year and nearly double what forecasters had expected.
  • The surge in hiring makes it less likely the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark interest rate soon since the economy is withstanding high interest rates.
  • Wages also grew at a fast 0.6% month-over-month clip, likely due to minimum wage hikes in nearly half of states.

The job market got off to a roaring start in January, as employers added nearly double the amount of jobs forecasters had expected.

U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, the highest in a year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday. That was well over the 185,000 consensus forecast according to a survey of economists by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate stayed at 3.7%, close to historic lows, and average hourly wages grew 0.6% from December, double the forecast for 0.3% growth.

Not only that, but the bureau upwardly revised previous months' reports, bringing the total jobs added in December to 333,000 from 216,000, and tacked on another 9,000 jobs to November’s previously reported gain of 173,000.

Overall, the jobs report showed an economy running hot—a bonanza for workers, but perhaps worrisome for officials at the Federal Reserve, who have feared that rapid wage growth could fuel inflation. The Fed has been holding its benchmark interest r🍌ate at a 22-year high since July, raising borrowing costs on all kinds of loans to slow the economy down and contain inflation, at the cost of a potential recession if it hits the brakes too hard.

With wages surging in a hot labor market, and 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:no mass layoffs in sight, the report may spur the Fed to keep the rate high for longer than investors anticipated a few days ago. The chances for a March rate cut tumbled in the wake of the jobs report, going down to around 20% from almost 40% the day before, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data.

“This is an unambiguously a hotter labor market than Fed thought it had on its hands,” Ali Jaffery an economist at CIBC, wrote in a commentary.

However, minimum wages rose in Januaꦦry in almost half ♔of the country, and that may have contributed to a jump in average earnings, economists at Oxford Economics wrote in a commentary ahead of the report. That could encourage officials at the Fed to overlook the monthly wage jump as a one-time event rather than a trend, Nancy Vanden Houten, lead U.S. economist at Oxford, wrote. 

While perhaps troubling for ♌the Fed, there was much to celebrate from the perspective of typical household budgets, especially when combined with recent data showing inflation having slowed dramatically over the past year—gains that the Administration of President Joe Biden was eager to highlight. 

“Jobs, wages, lower inflation, all of these are combining to help increase the buying power of families,” said Jared Bernstein, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, in an interview with Investopedia.

Do you have a news tip for Investopedia reporters? Please email us at
Article Sources
Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts. We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our editorial policy.
  1. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "."

  2. CME Group. "."

Compare Accounts
The offers that appear in this table are from partnerships from which Investopedia receives compensation. This compensation may impact how and where listings appear. Investopedia does not include all offers available in the marketplace.

Related Articles