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Consumer Sentiment Soars to a 22-Month High on Optimism About Inflation

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Key Takeaways

  • Consumer sentiment jumped in July to the highest level since September 2021, according to the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.
  • The University of Michigan said lower inflation and a strong job market fueled consumer optimism.
  • However, consumers' short- and long-term outlooks for inflation rose slightly.

Consumer sentiment in the U.S. soared this month to the highest level in almost two years as easing inflation and a strong job market fueled optimism, according to a survey by the University of Michigan.

The preliminary July University of Michi𒁏gan Index o🌃f Consumer Sentiment (MCSI) soared 12.7% from Ju𝔍ne to a reading of 72.6. It hasn’t been that high since September 2021. The measure of current economic conditions rose 12.3% to 77.5, and the Index 🍰of Consumer Expectations was up to 69.4, a 12.8% jump.

Joanne 🙈Hsu, the director of the school’s survey of consumers, s🎉aid that the gain in sentiment was “largely attributable to the continued slowdown in inflation along with stability in labor markets.”

She noted that the index was now about halfway between the all-time low of 50 in June of last year, and the pre-pandemic reading of 101 in February 💦2020. 

Hsu noted that survey participants believed annual inflation a year from now would be 3.4%, up slightly from 3.3% in June. The outlook for inflation in five years also ticked up by one tenth of a percentage point to 3.1% from 3%.

U of M survey of consumers

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