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Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: What's the Difference?

Part of the Series
Guide to Technical Analysis

Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: An Overview

A golden cross indica🥂tes that a long-term bull market is looming while a death cross signals a long-term bear market ahead. These two opposing trends influence the buy and sell decisions of stock market traders who rely on technical indicators.

Both a golden cross and a death cross confirm a long-term trend by indicating a short-term moving average crossing ov🌞er a major long-term moving average.

The use of statistical analysis to make trading decisions is the core of technical analysis. At times,🅷 the trend lines on charts c🏅urve and cross, forming odd shapes with funny names like "cup with handle," "head and shoulders," and "double top." Technical traders recognize these patterns and what they portend for the future performance of a single stock or the entire market.

Key Takeaways

  • A golden cross is a visual signal of a long-term bull market going forward, while a death cross suggests a long-term bear market.
  • Either crossover is considered more significant when accompanied by high trading volume.
  • Once the crossover occurs, the long-term moving average is considered a major support level (in the case of the golden cross) or resistance level (in the instance of the death cross) from that point forward.
  • Either cross may occur as a signal of a trend change, but they more frequently occur as a strong confirmation of a change that has already taken place.
  • Traders use both death crosses and golden crosses to help determine when to enter and exit an investment.

Golden Cross

The golden cross oc🅠curs when a short-term moving average crosses over a major long-term m❀oving average to the upside. This happens when the short-term average trends up faster than the long-term average until they cross.

This is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive upward turn in a market.

There are three stages to a golden cross:

  • A downtrend that eventually ends as selling is depleted
  • A second stage where the shorter moving average crosses up through the longer moving average
  • Finally, the continuing uptrend, hopefully leading to higher prices
Image

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Death Cross

The death cross is the exact opposite of the golden cross, signaling a decisive downturn in a market. The death cross occurs when the short-term average trends down and crosses the long-term average. That is, it's moving in the opposite direction of the golden cross.

Image

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021

Special Considerations

Opinions vary as to precisely what constitutes a meaningful moving average crossover. Some analysts define it as a crossover of the 100-day moving average by the澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网: 50-day moving average; others define it as the crossover 𓄧of the 200-day average by the 50-day average.

Analysts also watch for the crosဣsover occurring on lower time frame charts as confirmation of a strong, ongoing trend.

Regardless of variations in the precise definition or the time frame applied, the term always refeไrs to a short-term moving average crossing over a major long-ter𓄧m moving average.

How Do You Calculate a Golden Cross?

The 200-day 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:moving average and the 50-day moving average are tracked over time, as in the chart above. A golden cross occurs if the 5🍸0-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average on an upward trend.

Is a Death Cross a Good Time to Buy?

A death cross signals a bearish market. Many investors buy stocks when their prices have dropped with the expectation that they will go up again in the future. This strategy relies on t🧔he fact that a bear market drags down nearly all stocks, good and bad.

The key to making money in stocks is picking the ones that are undervalued for whatever reasons. If you buy the right stock on a dip, you'll get a return on your investment.

What Timeframe Is Best for a Golden Cross?

The 50-day moving average is the most commonly used indicator when watching for💮 a gol💃den cross or a death cross.

Golden crosses can be analyzed under many different time fram🥀es depending on the trader and what is being analyzed. Day traders use very b𝔉rief time frames, such as five minutes or 10 minutes. Swing traders use longer time frames, such as five hours or 10 hours.

The Bottom Line

Golden crosses and death crosses are market signals observed by technical analysts. A golden cross signals a bull market and a death cross signal𒉰🔯s a bear market.

B⛄oth of these are determined by the confirmation of a long-term trend from the occurrence of a short-term moving average crossing over a major▨ long-term moving average. Both crosses help traders in making investment decisions.

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Part of the Series
Guide to Technical Analysis

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