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Speculation vs. Gambling: What's the Difference?

Speculation vs. Gambling: An Overview

Gamblin🐷g is wagering money in 𝐆an event that has an uncertain outcome in hopes of winning more money, whereas speculation involves taking a calculated risk with an uncertain outcome.

Speculation involves some sort of positive expected return on investment—even thoug🅠h the end result may very well be a loss. However, the expected return for gambling is negative for the player—even though some people may get lucky and win.

Key Takeaways

  • Speculating and gambling both involve committing money to high-risk prospects that may or may not pay off.
  • However, the expected results of speculating and gambling are very different from each other.
  • Speculators research and assess the risk of a financial asset before investing, in the hopes of seeing strong returns.
  • Gamblers play a game of chance with an expected negative response: it is well understood that the odds of success with gambling are low and that the house is more likely to win.



Speculation

澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Speculation involves calculating risk and conducting research before entering a financial transaction. A speculator buys or sells assets in hopes of having a bigger potential gain than the🥂 amount he risks. They take risks and know that the more risk they assume, in theory, the higher their potential ga﷽in. However, they also know they may lose more than their potential gain.

For example, an investor may speculate that a market index will increase due to strong economic numbers by purchasing 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:futures contracts🦩. If their analysis is correct, they may be able to sell the contracts for more than they paid, within a short- to medium-term period. However, if the market drops more than expected, they could lose more than anticipated.

Gambling

Converse to speculation, gambling involves a game of chance. Generally, the odds are stacked against gamblers. When gambling, the probability of losing an investment is usually hi🦹gher than the probability of winning more than the investment. Compared to speculation, gambling has a higher risk of losing the investment.

For example, a gambler opts to play a game of American roulette instead of speculating in the stock market. The gambler only places bets on single numbers. However, the payout is 35 to 1, while the odds against them winning are 38 to 1 (38 slots on an American roulette wheel). So if a gambler bets $2 on a single number, their potential 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:gambling income is $70 (35*$2), but the odds of wiꦫnning is approximately 1 in 38.

Tip

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER or visit NCPGambling.org/Chat to chat with a helpline specialist.


Key Differences

Although there may be some superficial similarities between the two concepts, a strict definition of both speculation and gambling reveals the key differences between them. A standard di🐓ctionary defines speculation as a risky type of investment, where investing means to put money to use, by purchase or expenditure, in something offering profitable returns, especially interest or income.

The same dictionary defines gambling 💝as follows: To play at any ga🎃me of chance for stakes. To stake or risk money, or anything of value, on the outcome of something involving chance, a bet, or a wager.

Speculation
  • 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩♉网:꧂Often has a positive expected return

  • 澳洲幸运5官方🉐开奖结果体彩网:Risk offset by possibility of substantial gain

  • 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Lower risk than gambling

  • 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Involves some calculated risk

Gambling
  • 澳洲🔴幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Often has a ne🧸gative expected return

  • Risks are not offset🍃 because the house always has an advantage

  • 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Higher risk than speculating

  • 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Involves chance, a bet, or a wager

What Distinguishes Investors From Speculators and Gamblers?

An investor invests in quality assets that are likely to produce stable, consistent returns; a speculator invests in volatile assets wꦇith the hopes that the asset will spike in value and the speculator will profit; and a gambler plays a game of chance against bad odds, with the house♐ always having the advantage.

What Is the Difference Between Insurance, Gambling, and Speculation?

Gambling involves betting on an uncertain outcome that is predicted to be negative, with the house likely to win. Speculation involves investing in volatile assets with possible high returns. Both introduce new risks. Insurance includes known risks in its coverage and premium 𒆙calculations, so no new risks are 🍨created.

The Bottom Line

Gambling is a game of chance and is high risk, as you bet on an uncertain outcome that is likely to turn out negatively, with the odds against you. Speculation is also risky, but it is less reliant on pu𒁃re chance. With speculation, an investor puts money into an asset that is volatile but has the potential to see a significant upswing. Speculation is typicওally associated with the stock markets, and gambling is associated with casinos and online sports betting.

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Part of the Series
Gambling & Sports: What You Need to Know

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