The state of the overall economy can provide insight to investors for their decision-making. For instance, when considering whether to invest in a company that depends on consumer spending, it's useful to know if the economy is facing a recession.
Economic indicators provide information about an economy and whether it is expanding or contracting. Most indicators are released monthly by government departments and agencies. They typically report on activity in the prevꦗious month and year ⛎for comparison purposes.
Read on for 10 important U.S. 🅷economic indicators that investors typically watch.
Key Takeaways
- Individuals who measure economic activity and predict future trajectories rely on the analysis of key pieces of macroeconomic data.
- Known as economic indicators, these data quantify various aspects of an economy.
- Economic indicators measure everything from economic growth to changes in prices to unemployment.
- Markets can react and change from news about key economic indicators.
- Information provided by economic indicators can help people make decisions about their investments.
1. GDP
The 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:gross domestic product (GDP) of an economy provides the overall value of the goods and servi🐈ces that th🦄e economy produces and indicates whether it is growing or shrinking.
The Department of Commerce’s look at the quarterly change in GDP breaks down the activity into changes in consumer spending, business investment, and government spending, as well as the net impact of foreign trade. The government puts out a preliminary first estimate, updates with a revised second reading as it gets more input, and then delivers a third and final report.
2. Employment Figures
The Department of Labor puts out a monthly release on employment that includes the number of jobs created the previous month by the private sector, the government, and some specific industries, as well as the national unemployment rate. Low unemployment can point to a strong economy, but can also predict rising inflation.
Important
The U.S. unemployment rate as of March 2025 was 4.1%.
3. Industrial Production
Industrial production is a measure of the output of manufacturing-based industries, including those producing goods for consumers and businesses. This monthly release from the Federal Reserve also reports on capacity utilization in the factory sector.
4. Consumer Spending
Consumer spending accounts for over two-thirds of U.S. gross domestic product and is a good gauge of consumer spending health. The Department of Commerce’s on personal income and outlays provides data on consumer spending. It also provides information on inflation through a price index that reflects changes in how much consumers have to spend to buy certain items.
Fast Fact
Consumer spending represented 68.2% of GDP as of Q4 2024.
5. Inflation
Inflation is the general price level rise of goods and services in an economy. Too much inflation can mean the economy is overheating while very low 🦄inflation can be a harbinger of economic recession.
Depending upon the selected set of goods and services used, multiple types of inflation values are calculated and tracked as inflation indexes. The most commonly used inflation indexes are the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Producer Price Index (PPI), formerly known as the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:Wholesale Price Index (WPI).
Fast Fact
The current inflation rate, as of February 2025, is 2.8%.
6. Home Sales
Home sales represent a major purchase for most people. Thus, the Census Bureau's monthly report on new residential sales speaks to consumer sentiment. This report, based on contracts to buy new homes, provides input on sales of single-family homes regionally and nationally. It also reports on median and average sales prices.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR), a private realty trade association, puts out a monthly report on sales of existing homes, based on closed sales.
7. Home Building
The number of houses that builders started working on, as well as the number of permits that they obtained to start building houses, indicates real estate developers’ confidence level in the economy. The Census Bureau’s monthly release on new residential construction provides this regional and national information.
Tip
The U.S. Census Bureau is part of the U.S. Depar🧸tment of Commerce.
8. Construction Spending
Another construction-based indicator is the change in monthly construction spending, in dollars, nationally. This spending encompasses various construction-related expenses, such as labor and materials and engineering work. The Census Bureau's report provides a breakdown of residential and nonresidential public and private construction.
9. Manufacturing Demand
The report on manufacturers’ shipments, inventories, and orders gives an indication of demand for manufactured items. The Census Bureau issues a preliminary monthly report and a more lengthy report as a follow-up. Both break down manufactured goods by many types and industries, from electronic instruments to machine tools to nondurable consumer goods.
10. Retail Sales
The Census Bureau’s monthly release on retail and food services sales is an indication of consumer spending health. This report shows retail sales in various sectors, such as department stores, furniture stores, and food services.
What Is an Economic Indicator?
It's a metric that's generated by the collection of information about 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:certain parts of an economy. Economic indicators can provide insight into overall economic health. They help policymakers, such as government employees and Federal ওReserve board members, determine a course of action for the economy, as well as assist investors in their investment choices.
Where Can I Find Economic Indicators?
Various departments and agencies of the U.S. government release reports on U.S. economic indicators. These sites include the Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In addition, business publicatꦕions and websites typically issue economic ind💞icator news upon its release.
Is a Macroeconomic Indicator the Same As an Economic Indicator?
Yes. You'll see both terms used. Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that focuses on the larger view of the economy, such as markets, businesses, and consumers. Individual indicators that reflect different areas of the economy such as GDP, inflation, and unemployment, all parts of macroeconomics, help people assess the behavior of the overall economy.
The Bottom Line
No one key indicator paints a complete picture of the state of the econ⛦omy. However, a combination of indicators—such as the top 10 key economic indicators described above—can be🐷 used to inform a variety of economic and investment decisions.