Should senior housing REITs be a part of your portfolio? A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company that owns, or finances, income-producing real estate. Like mutual funds, REITs provide retail investors with dividend-based income and long-term capital appreciation. Diversified or specialty REITs might hold different property types in a portfolio, ranging from apartment complexes to senior housing complexes. Unlike directly-held real estate, your investments in REITs are liquid, with shares traded like stocks on an exchange.
Key Takeaways
- While senior housing real estate investment trusts (REITs) can offer attractive yields, it's important to consider whether the yields for particular REITs are sustainable and reflect the performance of the underlying assets.
- As with any REIT, interest rate changes greatly affect senior housing REITs. Rising interest rates generally scale back REIT valuations.
- The potential for oversupply in the senior housing market is a risk that can lead to lower occupancy rates and reduced profitability for senior housing REITs.
- Despite short-term risks, the long-term demographic trends suggest a growing demand for senior housing, which could benefit senior housing REITs in the longer term.
- Investing in senior housing REITs can offer diversification benefits within a real estate investment portfolio, especially given the demographic trends driving this sector.
REITs must pay more than 90% of their taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Doing so allows them to forgo corporate income taxes. REITs also allow investors to target industry trends. In the 2010s, urban growth outpaced suburban growth for the first time since the 1920s. But changes during the pandemic and post-pandemic period exposed REITs heavily invested in downtown office spaces to greater risks. An༺ aging population, meanwhile, could present prospects for invest🍎ors to capitalize on changing demographics. Increased demand for senior housing could forecast growth for REITs invested in this real estate segment.
Changes in Senior Housing Needs
By 2030, all baby boomers will be older than 65, and one in five U.S. residents will be 65 or older. By 2034, older adults will outnumber children for the first time in U.S. history, according to U.S. census data.
As Americans age, they will want or need housing that better fits their needs. Often, these options fall under the umbrella of senior housing. This term refers to a range of o𓃲fferings from older adult facilities for independent living to assisted care options for those who need it.
A 2023 study by Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies reveals the following:
- Almost 70% of those who reach age 65 will require long-term care services for an average period of three years, and 20% will need it for five years or more.
- In the previous decade, the population 65 and over has increased by 34%, from 43 to 58 million. At the same time, the share of households headed by older adults increased to 27% of all U.S. households.
- As people age, they are far more apt to choose housing with accessible design features such as extra-wide hallways and doors, no-step entry, accessible electrical controls, and, most commonly, single-floor living. Many of these features are best found in new builds, not the existing housing people have, which are often prohibitively expensive to add on after the fact.
- The share of people relocating to more accessible housing rises from about 25% of those moving in their 50s to more than a third in their 70s to more than half of movers in their 80s.
- Even as the older population has grown in recent years, the number of adults living in group homes has shrunk, with the share of the 65-and-over population in nursing homes falling by 20% thus far in the 2000s. The decline reflects how those aged 65 and over are comparatively healthier, as well as the greater variety of options for care, such as supportive housing and assisted living, in which older adults receive services where they live but have their own private units.
- Wealthier seniors have more options in terms of senior housing.
These and other demographic trends are favorable to senior housing REITs. The question remains: Are these a good investment? Like most investing options, the answer depends on your investing strategy as well♛ as those prospects that are available.
Consider These Factors
Investing in pub𝕴licly traded REITs is like investing in any other company. For starters, you should know who manages the company. What is the business and iꦐnvesting strategy? What is the company’s track record? You will have many of the same questions you would ask and research before investing in Apple, Tesla, or any other individual stock.
Se🦂nior housing REITs occupy a space in real estate and healthcare. The percentage of healthcare, specifically senior living REITs, will vary from REIT to REIT.
Beyond t𓆉he questions above, you should first find out how the REIT makes money. Within this broad category, some REITs invest in older adult-oriented apartments ꦏand communities, assisted living facilities, and properties, such as medical buildings with staff dedicated to the needs of older adults.
Like many trends we see across the business world, companies tend to jump into a business segment when they spot profit potential. Senior housing is no exception. While the demographics are favorable to senior housing facilities of all types, an oversupply could 🦋cut into their profitability and, thus, the profitability and cash flow of REITs.
Like all REITs, senior housing REITs can be sensitive to interest rate changes, which may affect their performance. You should 🐭thus consider the sustainability of dividend payments and the overall health o📖f the real estate market.
Dividends and Income
REITs are known for generating dividend-based income. For example, the Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ), an 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:index fund tracking the MSCI U.S. REIT index, has a 12-month unadjusted effective yield of 2.27% as of Dec. 4, 2023. ಌSome major healthcare REITs, like the rest of the real estate market, have experienced the negative effects of heightened interest rates in the Federal R💜eserve's battle against inflation.
How Do Changes in Healthcare Affect Senior Housing REITs?
The evolving healthcare landscape, especially regarding policies and funding for t༺he care of older adults who need it, can greatly affect senior housing REITs. For example, changes in reimbursement rates from Medicare and Medicaid can changℱe the affordability and accessibility of senior housing options. In addition, advances in home healthcare technology have changed whether older adults who need care choose to relocate.
How Do Demographic Changes Factor Into the Viability of Senior Housing REITs?
Demographic trends, particularly those that show older adults taking up larger proportions of the U.S. population as a whole, are crucial in the long-term viability of senior housing REITs. As the population ages, there should be an increase in demand for housing options specific to the diverse needs of older adults, which should drive growth in this sector. However, it's also important to examine elements like the supply of such housing options in the market, the ability of enough older adults to afford such housing, and trends in the preferences of older adults.
How Does the Performance of Senior Housing REITs Compare to Other REITs During Downturns?
Senior housing REITs may perform differently than other kinds of REITs when there's an economic downturn, given their specific market. Economic downturns heavily impact sectors like retail and commercial real estate, while senior housing ordinarily has a more stable demand. This is because of the need for housing and care for older adults—essential requirements for a home and care don't just go away. However, changes in disposable income and government funding for older adults still affect how these REITs perform during economic downturns.
The Bottom Line
Demographic tren🅺ds favor senior housing REITs and healthcare REITs with significant holdings in this sector. Before investing in them, however, there are several points to consider.
First, while the dividend income of many of these REITs can be tempting under circumstances that favor high yields, consider whether they are sustainable and what additional risks they might incur. Second, higher interest rates impact REITs, and it's best to assess how interest rate hikes would affect your REIT holdings before you invest. Lastly, while the demographic trends are promising, it is important to stay on top of the supply of senior housing compared with the potential demand.