What Is the Cup and Handle Pattern?

American entrepreneur William J. O'Neil defined the cup and handle (C&H) pattern in his 1988 classic, "How To Make Money in Stocks," adding technical requirements through a series of articles published in Investor’s Business Daily, which he founded in 1984. O'Neil included time frame measurements for each component, as well as a detailed description of the rounded lows that give the pattern its unique teacup appearance.

Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern

When he coined the term, O’Neil pointed to four stages in a cup and handle breakout:

• The security posts a significant high in an uptrend that accelerated between one and three months prior.
• The next pullback carves out a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:rounding bottom no deeper than the 50% 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:retracement of the prior trend. This marks the "cup."
• The next breakout attempt fails at the prior high, yielding a secondary pullback that holds near 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:resistance, grinding out a smaller rounding bottom, which becomes the "handle."
• The security returns to resistance for the second time and breaks out, yielding a measured move target equal to the depth of the cup.

Many cup and handle traders adhere strictly to O'Neil’s rules for construction, but there are many variations that produce reliable results. In fact, modified C&H patterns have applications in all time frames, from intraday scalping to monthly 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:market timing. Finding and trading these updated versions requires an understanding of crowd psychology at contested price levels, as well as a trained eye that can see through higher noise levels that result from🌞 electronic stops running in the modern marketplace.

Deconstructing the Cup and Handle

Let's consider the market mechanics of a typical cup and handle scenario. A new rally prints a high, and the price rolls over into a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:correction, flipping relative strength 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:oscillators into sell cycles that encourage strong-handed longs to exit positions. New buyers enter the pullback at the 38.6% or 50% retracement level, expecting the prior uptrend to resume. The security bounces and tests the high, drawing in aggressive 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:short-sellers who believe that a new 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:downtrend will elicit a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:double top breakdown.

That recovery swing may end at the old high or exc🎃eed it by a few points and then reverse, adding downside fuel because it traps two groups of buyers. First, longs entering deep in the pattern get nervous because they were betting on a breakout that fails. At the same time, longs chasing the breakout watch a small profit evaporate and are forced to def🐬end positions. Both groups are now targeted for losses or reduced profits, while short-sellers pat themselves on the back for a job well done.

The tables turn once again when the decline stalls high in the broad 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:trading range, giving way to narrow 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:sideways action. Short sellers lose confidence and start to cover, adding upside fuel, while strong-handed longs who survived the latest pullback gain confidence. Relative strength oscillators now flip into new buy cycles, encouraging a third population of longs to take risks. A positive feedback loop sets into motion, wit🌠h price lifting into resistance, completing the final leg of the pattern, and breaking out in a strong uptrend.

Deconstructed mechanics tell us to look for the C&H pattern in places that William O'Neil never imagined, including 60-minute and monthly charts, because crowd psychology exhibits fractal properties, acting out similar emotional behavior within larger and smaller time frames. It al𝔍so suggests that rounding bottoms aren't needed 🥂as long as other structural elements draw in new buyers while short-sellers get discouraged and cover positions.

With that in mind, let's look at three cup and handle patterns that don't fit the classic mold.

Multi-Year Cup and Handle

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) went public on the Nasdaq exchange near $11.50 in October 2002 and rose to $164.48 five years later. The subsequent decline ended within two points of the 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:initial public offering (IPO) price, far exceeding O'Neil's requirement for a shallow cup high in the prior trend. The subsequent recovery wave reached the prior high in 2011, nearly four years after the first print. The handle follows the classic pullback expectation, finding support aꦬt the 50% retracement in a rounded shape, and returns to the high for a second time 14 months later. The stock broke out in October 2013 and added 90 point🍌s in the following five months.

Cup and Odd Handle

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) printed two non-traditional cup and handle patterns in 2014. It topped out at $41.66 in April and pulled back to the 38.6% retracement of the last trend leg. Price carved out a choppy but rounded bottom at that level and returned to the high in June. It then ground sideways in a 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:consolidation pattern (first blue box) that lasted for more than🦄 five weeks, or close to half the time it tooꦉk for the cup segment to complete.

According to O'Neil’s description, the handle should extend no longer than between one-fifth to one-quarter of the cup's length. This handle looks nothing like the ideal pattern but serves the identical purpose, holding close to the prior high, shaking out short-sellers, and encouraging new longs to enter positions. Note that a deeper handle retracement, rounded or otherwise, lowers the odds for a breakout because the price structure reinforces resistance at the prior high.

The security finally broke out in July 2014, with the uptrend matching the length of the cup in a perfect measured move. The rally peak established a new high that yielded a pullback retracing 50% of the priorꦺ rally, nearly identical to the prior pattern. This time, the cup pr꧑ints a V-shape rather than a rounded bottom, with price stalling under the prior high. It ground sideways in a broadening formation (second blue box) that looks nothing like the classic handle for another three weeks and broke out. This rally failed to reach the measured move target at 50, calculated by adding the four-point depth of the cup to the resistance line near $46.

Intraday Cup and Handle

The 60-minute cup and handle pattern offers an excellent timing tool when looking to buy a larger-scale trend that doesn't show a low-risk entry price on the daily or weekly chart. Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) consolidated below $62 after pulling back to major support at the 200-day 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:exponential moving average (EMA). It returned to resistance in early February of 2015 and dropped into a small 澳洲幸运5官方开奖结果体彩网:rectangle pattern with support near $60.50. This rectangular handle held well above the 38.6% retracement level, keeping bulls in charge, ahead of a breakout that exceeded the measured move target and printed a 14-y﷽ear high.

The Bottom Line

William O'Neil's strict requirements for the cup and handle pattern in 1988 can be now expanded into various market scenarios in multiple time frames. This broader view allows us to shift attention from the classic pattern's standard definition, toward a narrow focus on crowd psychology that underpins its power to predict sizable breakouts.

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